12122 WESTERN AVE, GARDEN GROVE CA | MMA TANK EMERGENCY | MAY 23 2026
Incident
ChemicalMMA C₅H₈O₂
Volume7,000 gal
TNT equiv.—
Flash pt.2°C / 36°F
Vapor density>1 (sinks)
IDLH1,000 ppm
Wind (Live-driven)
FromWest 270°
Speed8 mph
Gustsup to 20 mph
Fallout toNE
Observed Weather (Live)
Conditionsloading…
Temp—
Humidity—
Wind—
Gusts—
Updated—
Layers
Base map
Blast zones
Toxic plume
Evac order
Scenario
Per-tank evaporation/venting rate that feeds the plume. Realistic MMA pool ≈ 2–8 kg/s.
The dominant lever on plume reach. Each cascade tank below adds another source this size.
Plume dispersion model
Britter-McQuaid — screening dense-gas model. Heavier-than-air vapour slumps and hugs the ground, reaching farther than a neutral plume. The default for MMA. ±factor 2-3.
Cascade Failure
Officials say the tank sits beside 2 other storage tanks. A blast can trigger
sympathetic detonation. Toggle the neighbours (worst case: 34,000 gal each, full).
Cascade grows the blast (combined fuel) and the plume — each failing
tank adds another leak of the rate set above.
Tank 2 (+34,000 gal)
Tank 3 (+34,000 gal)
Total volume7,000 gal
ScenarioSingle tank
Blast scale—
Plume source4 kg/s
TNT-equivalent = blast energy only (not radiation/fallout).
Blast legend
Fireball / total destruction
Severe structural damage
Moderate damage / injury
Glass break / eardrum
Plume legend (Britter-McQuaid dense-gas)
IDLH >1,000 ppm — lethal
ERPG-2 75 ppm — serious
ERPG-1 10 ppm — irritation
Distances
Fireball—
Severe—
Moderate—
Glass break—
IDLH plume—
ERPG-2—
ERPG-1—
Model Comparison
Four models, each deriving the hazard from first principles (real API runs). Claude
is the interactive default (on); toggle any model to overlay its blast + plume, in its colour.
Cascade scales the blast; the leak-rate slider scales the plume. Plume follows the dispersion model picked above (B-M / DEGADIS) — screening-level, ±factor 2–3.
Claude · 7.1 t
Grok 4 · 7.2 t
Gemini 2.5 Pro · 4.3 t
GPT-5 · 14.3 t (default)
What's real vs modeled
Real: site location + the official OCFA evacuation order (yellow box).
Modeled: blast rings + toxic plume (heavier-than-air, current wind). Illustrative estimate — not official guidance.
WIND W → NE
SPEED 8 mph
GUSTS 20 mph
STABILITY Pasquill D